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Is $500k Enough to Retire? The Honest 2026 Math

$500k puts you ahead of 80% of Americans. But can it fund YOUR retirement? Let's do the real math.

11 min read
By Taro Schenker - Founder & FIRE Researcher
15+ years active investing experienceFounder, London Gold ExchangeB.S. Audio Technology

The Honest Take

$500k alone is not enough for a traditional retirement. At 4% withdrawal, it provides just $20,000/year. But with Social Security + geographic arbitrage, it can work—especially at 65+ with Medicare. The key: treat $500k as a supplement to Social Security, not your primary income source.

The Honest Answer

Let me be direct: $500,000 is not the "comfortable retirement" number you see in financial planning ads. Those typically assume $1-2 million. But $500k is also not nothing—you have more than 80% of American households approaching retirement.

The real question isn't "is $500k enough?" but rather: "$500k plus what?"

THE KEY INSIGHT

$500k is not your retirement income. It's your "Social Security gap filler."

Frame it this way and the math becomes much more manageable.

For most people with $500k, the path to retirement runs through Social Security, location optimization, and realistic budgeting—not portfolio acrobatics.

The Math: What $500k Really Provides

Using safe withdrawal rates, here's what $500,000 generates annually:

Withdrawal RateAnnual IncomeMonthly IncomeBest For
3.0%$15,000$1,250Early retirees (40+ year horizon)
3.5%$17,500$1,458Age 50-60 retirees
4.0%$20,000$1,667Traditional retirement (30-year horizon)
4.5%$22,500$1,875Late retirees with other income

Reality Check

$20,000/year is about $1,667/month. The federal poverty line for a single person is $15,060 (2026). You're above it, but not by much. This is why Social Security and location matter so much at this savings level.

Social Security: The Game Changer

If you have $500k saved, Social Security is your primary retirement income, not your portfolio. Here's what combining them looks like:

Social Security$500k at 4%Total AnnualTotal Monthly
$18,000 (early claim at 62)$20,000$38,000$3,167
$22,800 (average at 67)$20,000$42,800$3,567
$32,000 (delayed to 70)$20,000$52,000$4,333
$44,800 (couple, both average)$20,000$64,800$5,400

Notice how the picture changes completely. A couple with average Social Security plus $500k has $64,800/year—that's a livable retirement income in most of America.

The Social Security delay strategy

This is one of the most powerful moves for people with $500k: use your savings to delay Social Security from 62 to 70.

THE DELAY PAYOFF

Delaying Social Security from 62 to 70 increases your benefit by 77%.

  • • Claim at 62: ~$18,000/year for life
  • • Claim at 70: ~$32,000/year for life
  • • That's an extra $14,000/year, every year, for the rest of your life

To bridge the 8 years from 62-70, you'd need about $25,000/year from savings = $200,000 total. With $500k, you still have $300k left at 70, PLUS a much larger Social Security check. This is often the mathematically optimal strategy for the $500k cohort.

Run your retirement numbers

See exactly how Social Security + savings combine for your situation.

4% Rule Calculator

$500k by Retirement Age

$500k at Age 55

Verdict: Very Difficult

The problem: No Medicare (expensive healthcare), no Social Security yet, and a 40+ year time horizon requiring just 3.5% withdrawal ($17,500/year).

The solution: Barista FIRE (part-time work for benefits + income) or Coast FIRE (let $500k grow to $1M+ by 65 while working). Pure retirement at 55 with $500k is a significant stretch.

$500k at Age 60

Verdict: Possible with Planning

The challenge: 5 years until Medicare, 2-7 years until Social Security. Healthcare costs will eat into savings significantly ($600-1,500/month for ACA premiums).

The path: Keep MAGI under $64,000 for ACA subsidies. Budget $18,000/year for healthcare until 65. Use $500k at 3.5% ($17,500) + manage MAGI carefully. It's tight but workable in low-cost areas.

$500k at Age 65

Verdict: Workable

The advantage: Medicare kicks in (healthcare costs drop dramatically), Social Security available (even if you delay, you can claim).

The math: $20,000 (4% of $500k) + $22,800 (average SS) = $42,800/year. With Medicare + Medigap, budget $4,000-6,000/year for healthcare. Net: $36,800-38,800 for living expenses. This works in affordable areas.

$500k at Age 70

Verdict: Comfortable

The sweet spot: Maximum Social Security ($32k if delayed from 62), Medicare established, and a shorter time horizon (5% withdrawal may be reasonable).

The math: $25,000 (5% of $500k) + $32,000 (delayed SS) = $57,000/year. This is a solid retirement income, especially with a paid-off home.

Where $500k Works (And Where It Doesn't)

At the $500k level, location is everything. The same retirement income provides vastly different lifestyles depending on where you live.

Location TypeMonthly Cost$42k/yr VerdictExamples
HCOL (High Cost)$4,500-7,000+Not EnoughSan Francisco, NYC, Boston
MCOL (Medium Cost)$3,000-4,000TightPhoenix, Denver, Austin
LCOL (Low Cost)$2,000-2,800ComfortableAlbuquerque, Tulsa, Cleveland
VLCOL (Very Low Cost)$1,500-2,000Good BufferRural areas, small towns, abroad

Best states for $500k retirement

  • New Mexico: Free healthcare via Turquoise Plan for lower incomes, no tax on Social Security, low cost of living
  • Tennessee: No state income tax, low property taxes, affordable housing
  • West Virginia: Among the lowest cost of living, no tax on Social Security
  • Oklahoma: Very affordable, tax-friendly for retirees
  • Mississippi: Lowest cost of living in the US, no tax on retirement income

The Geographic Arbitrage Opportunity

If you're currently in a HCOL area, moving could be equivalent to having an extra $300,000-500,000 saved. A $42k income that barely survives in Boston provides a comfortable life in Albuquerque or Cleveland.

The Healthcare Reality

Healthcare is the wildcard that can make or break a $500k retirement, especially before age 65.

Before Medicare (Age 55-64)

ACA marketplace insurance depends heavily on your income (MAGI). With $500k in retirement accounts, you control your income by controlling withdrawals.

2026 ACA Strategy for $500k Retirees

  • • Keep MAGI under $64,000 (single) or $86,000 (couple) for subsidies
  • • At $25,000 MAGI: Premium ~$100-200/month with subsidies
  • • At $45,000 MAGI: Premium ~$300-500/month with subsidies
  • • Above subsidy cliff: Full price $1,000-1,800/month (ages 60-64)

Note: Enhanced ACA subsidies may expire after 2025. Plan conservatively.

After Medicare (Age 65+)

Medicare dramatically simplifies things:

  • Medicare Part B (2026): ~$185/month (standard premium)
  • Part D (drugs): ~$35-50/month
  • Medigap/Supplement: ~$100-200/month
  • Total: $320-435/month ($3,840-5,220/year)

This is far more predictable and affordable than pre-65 coverage. The $500k retirement becomes much more viable at 65+.

Healthcare planning guide

Full breakdown of early retiree healthcare options for 2026.

Read Healthcare Guide

Strategies to Make $500k Work

1. Delay Social Security

Use $500k to bridge the gap from 62 to 70. You'll spend $150-200k but gain 77% higher Social Security forever. This is often the highest-return "investment" available.

2. Geographic arbitrage

Moving from a HCOL to LCOL area can double your effective retirement income. A paid-off $150k home in Tennessee beats renting a $2,500/month apartment in Denver.

3. Barista FIRE (part-time work)

Working 20 hours/week at Starbucks, Costco, or UPS provides $15-20k income PLUS health insurance. Combined with $500k, this approach is highly sustainable and eliminates the healthcare wildcard.

4. Coast FIRE (if younger)

If you're 55 with $500k, consider letting it grow untouched while working a lower-stress job that covers expenses. At 7% real returns, $500k becomes $1 million in 10 years.

5. Pay off housing

A paid-off home is the single biggest reducer of retirement expenses. If you have a $200k mortgage, consider paying it off with $200k of your $500k. The remaining $300k needs to cover less, and you eliminate housing uncertainty.

Explore Barista FIRE

Calculate how part-time work changes your retirement equation.

Barista FIRE Calculator

$500k vs Other Amounts

How does $500k compare to other common retirement targets?

Amount4% Annual+ Avg SSLifestyle
$500,000$20,000$42,800Modest in LCOL areas
$750,000$30,000$52,800Comfortable in LCOL/MCOL
$1,000,000$40,000$62,800Comfortable most places
$1,500,000$60,000$82,800Upper-middle lifestyle
$2,000,000$80,000$102,800Comfortable anywhere

The gap between $500k and $750k is significant in flexibility. If you can save an extra $250k before retiring, it provides an additional $10,000/year and considerably more margin for error.

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I retire with $500,000?

It depends heavily on your age and location. At 65+ with Social Security ($20-24k/year average), $500k providing $20k/year (4% rule) gives you $40-44k total income. That works in low-cost areas but struggles in expensive cities. At 55 without Social Security yet, $500k alone is very tight.

How long will $500k last in retirement?

Using the 4% withdrawal rate ($20,000/year), $500k has a 95% chance of lasting 30 years based on historical data. At 3% ($15,000/year), it should last 40+ years. The key is keeping withdrawals reasonable and having other income sources like Social Security.

Is $500k enough to retire at 55?

It's very difficult. At 55, you face 10 years without Medicare (expensive healthcare), no Social Security yet, and a 40+ year time horizon. $500k at 3.5% provides just $17,500/year. Most people need to either work part-time (Barista FIRE) or wait until Social Security kicks in.

Is $500k enough to retire at 65?

It can work with Social Security. At 65, you qualify for Medicare (cutting healthcare costs dramatically) and can claim Social Security ($20-24k average). Combined with $20k from $500k at 4%, you have $40-44k/year total. That's enough for a modest lifestyle in affordable areas.

What is the 4% rule for $500k?

The 4% rule means withdrawing 4% in year one ($20,000 from $500k), then adjusting for inflation each year. So year 2 at 3% inflation would be $20,600. This approach has historically sustained portfolios for 30+ years, though many experts recommend 3.5% for longer retirements.

Can a couple retire on $500k?

A couple retiring at 65+ can make it work with dual Social Security benefits. If both receive average benefits ($24k + $20k = $44k) plus $20k from $500k at 4%, that's $64k combined. In low-cost areas with paid-off housing, this provides a modest but comfortable retirement.

What is the best state to retire with $500k?

States with no income tax AND low cost of living: Tennessee, Florida, Texas, and Nevada are popular. But also consider New Mexico (free healthcare via Turquoise Plan for lower incomes) and West Virginia (very low cost of living). Housing costs matter more than state taxes at this level.

Should I delay Social Security with $500k saved?

Often yes. Delaying from 62 to 70 increases your benefit by 77%. Use your $500k to bridge the gap. Example: Take $25k/year from savings for 8 years ($200k total), and your Social Security jumps from $18k to $32k/year for life. That "guaranteed 8% return" is hard to beat.

Is $500k enough to retire early?

Not for traditional early retirement. $500k at 3.5% (needed for 40+ year horizons) provides just $17,500/year. Most early retirees pursuing Lean FIRE target $625k-$750k minimum, or use Barista FIRE (part-time work) or Coast FIRE (let it grow untouched) strategies.

How much Social Security will I get with $500k saved?

Social Security is based on your earnings history, not savings. The average 2026 benefit is about $1,900/month ($22,800/year). Your $500k doesn't affect your Social Security amount, but it does affect Medicare IRMAA surcharges if your income exceeds $103,000 (single) or $206,000 (married).

BOTTOM LINE

$500k is enough to retire IF: (1) you're 65+ with Social Security and Medicare, (2) you live in a low-cost area, and (3) you have modest expectations. For early retirees under 65, $500k requires creative strategies like Barista FIRE, Coast FIRE, or geographic arbitrage to be sustainable.

TS
Taro Schenker

Founder & FIRE Researcher

Self-taught investor and financial tools builder. After years of actively investing in stocks, precious metals, and financial markets, Taro built UngrindFi to make FIRE planning simple and accessible — the resource he wished existed when he started.

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